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Finance Rules the Key towards Deal at Copenhagen: AWGLCA Chair Iterates

Centad and few other NGOs meet today the AGW-KP chair regarding multifarious issues. The most hotly discussed one is the targets for the Annex1 and the non-Annex-1 targets. The chair expressed his concern over the apparent non-movement of the discussion regarding the targets. It seems that the parities have actually hit a brown area. The chair indeed mentioned that the Indian submission was a new idea of differentiation. However much is left for discussion for coming to any formidable position. There were couple of issues are moving around the table to be discussed. First the targets, whether it should be range based i.e. 25-40 percent or it should be at least 40 percent.

In one of the very bold and progressive gesture, the Indian delegation as part of the presentation on the article 1(b)ii of the Bali Action Plan, suggested for a reduction of at least 40 percent compared to the 1990 level by the industrialized countries by 2020. This is a major step towards regional alignments. Because this might soon evolve as the official position of the G77 and China. Furthermore, the Indian delegation during discussion on the topic of Article 1 (b)i of the Bali Action Plan proposed for an aggregate level of emissions targets. This is a new idea they have proposed and the parties are yet to react on it. But certainly this has gained momentum among the civil societies and they are seriously considering it.

In a meeting with the Chair of the AWGLCA as part of the ENGOs’ meeting with the Chair, Centad asked about the views from the Chair about this new classification of aggregated target. The chair opined that the issue is still very nascent but interesting one. Probably in future there may be a situation of such an issue be taken up for discussion in future. The Chair also opined that the crux of the matter is the finance. Once the issues related to finance gets unpacked, then the road to dealing the other issues will be easier.

As part of the discussions on AWGLCA contact groups, the Indian delegation pointed out that any financing on climate issue has to be based on the provisions of the Convention. Responding to the issue of public and private funding raised by the Japanese delegation, India categorically said that the private funding is only going to be made available only when there is a commercial interest involved in it. Now given the nature of the climate investment, if there are no such returns, then no climate investments are going to materialize. So there is an urgent need for getting funds from the public source. Also on the question of Switzerland proposal on having a tax on carbon, the Indian and the Brazilian delegation categorically asked about the issue of historical responsibilities. The carbon tax based system does consider the current emissions but the historical responsibility component of the Convention is neglected in the tax mechanism. On the issue of various mechanisms of generation of funds, We have collated the latest proposals that are on table for further considerations. In fact this collation was used by the NGOs for further deliberation.

Proposals Currently on Table for Discussion

Parties/Countries

Proposal

Amount Generated

Purpose

Remarks

Bolivia

1% of the developed country GDP+contributions from oil &gas taxes, profits from MNCs, sea and air transport

370 BN USD (1%GDP but excludes amount generated from the contributions from other sources mentioned.

Adaptation

 Combines the G77 and the LDCs proposal on bunker fuel. Meets adequacy and predictability criteria. But will not meet with agreement from A1 countries

Maldives

Air travel levy - 4 Euro (6 USD) on Economy, 40 Euro (60 USD) on business class

8-10 BN USD Annually

Adaptation

 Useful complementary source to any other formidable proposals.

Mexico

Contributions based on the GHG emissions both per capita and aggregate, population, GDP

10BN USD annually

Adaptation,

Origin of funds from the national budgets. There may be problem with the new and additionality component being not fulfilled – developing countries will not accept that all countries should contribute

Pakistan/ Bangladesh

CDM levy increased to range of 3-5%

0.3-1.7 BN USD per year

Adaptation

scaling up of the current CDM mech

China

0.5% GNP of A1 countries

185BN USD

Adaptation, Mitigation

Ensure the targets are met. Simple, clear, predictable and adequate public funding source

Norway

Auctioning of the AAUs. An extension of the adaptation levy

estimated that under same CDM rate of 2% CDM, 14 BN USD per year generated

adaptation

Unlikely to generate sufficient funds – it is carbon price sensitive and volatility – increasing number of parties interested in looking at the proposal. Some flaws must be ironed out as per their own admission

South Korea

Crediting NAMAS

Unspecified

Mitigation

Incentive for developing countries for mitigation. May be good for middle income developing countries having capacities for NAMAs

Swiss

Global tax rate of 2USD/ton CO2, for crossing threshold of 1.5t per capita of CO2

48.5 BN USD

Adaptation

Many developing countries may oppose as they may be at the higher end of the tax bracket – it does not deal with equity issues or historical responsibilities – LDC’s have expressed interest in the adaptation insurance aspect of this proposal

Tuvalu

Auction of allowances available for international aviation and marine emission,

28 BN USD annually

adaptation, mitigation

 Market sensitive – not predictable enough to be a primary source but could be looked at as supplementary source of funding

LDCs

Levy on bunker fuels, international aviation, marine emissions

4-15BN USD

Adaptation, Mitigation

 Should considered for supplementary source of funding – not market sensitive and therefore could be more predictable

Colombia

2% levy on JI and emissions trading

0.03-2.25

Adaptation

Market sensitive – therefore will have impact on predictability and adequacy.

G77 and China

0.5-1% GNP of A1 countries

201-402 BN USD

Adaptation, Mitigation

Ensure the targets are met. Simple, clear, and adequate public funding source – A1 will not agree

EU

Continue with current 2% CDM levy

0.2-0.68 BN USD

Adaptation

 

Source: Collated from the various submissions.

Therefore once we turn back about the advancements and the actions, we see a clear momentum of actions. However turning those actions into a negotiating text is the real job to be done. The involvement of the Civil Society becomes more crucial as of now onwards. In the conversation with the AWG LCA chair, the ENGOs, of which Centad was a part, expressed the opinion of getting involved with the informal consultations meeting during the forthcoming sessions. The chair was being suggested by the Civil Society to consider the alternative ways of organizing such participations. The Chair was certainly in the positive frame of mind on this proposal. We as part of the Civil Society believe this as a major breakthrough for more serious actions in near future.

 
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